June 2024

Volume 07 Issue 06 June 2024
Study on the Impact of Population Aging o n Savings in China
1Han Qing, 2Ren Jingyi, 3Doris Padmini Selvaratnam
1,2,3Bangi, Selanhor UKM
DOI : https://doi.org/10.47191/ijsshr/v7-i06-29

Google Scholar Download Pdf
ABSTRACT

This study examines the influence of demographic ageing on savings patterns in China. China is facing significant economic issues due to its ageing population, as indicated by the research. These challenges are mostly caused by the rising old age dependency ratio and longer life expectancy. The study utilizes data from the period of 2010 to 2020 and applies the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model to uncover the intricate relationship between ageing and savings. Findings indicate that populati on aging initially suppresses household savings rat es but may stimulate them in the medium term due to anticipatory saving behavior. At the social level, the growing number of elderly individuals places a greater strain on the economy, yet the possibility of longer life spans may encourage people to save more. The research offers vital information for policymakers seeking to tackle the economic consequences of a growing elderly population by strategic interventions like legislation that encourage delayed reti rement, enhanced social security systems, and o ngoing technology innovation.

KEYWORDS:

Population aging, Savings behavior, Old age dependency ratio, Life expectancy, Vector Autoregressive model, Economic policy

REFERENCES
1) Leff, N.H. Dependency rates and savings rates[J]. American Economic Review, 1969, 59(5): 886-896

2) Ram, R. Dependency rates and aggregate savings: a new international cross-section study[J]. American Economic Review, 1982, 72(3): 537-544

3) Yang Jijun, Zhang Erzhen. Effects of population age structure and pension system transition on Household savings rate [J]. In the Chinese Journal of Social Sciences, 2013 (8) : 47-66

4) Tang Dongpo. Population aging and high household savings: Theoretical and empirical research in China [J]. Financial Forum,2007 (9) : 3-9

5) Ma Shucai, Song Qi and Fu Yunpeng. Study on the influence of population age structure change on resident endogenous savings in China[J]. Chinese Population Science, 2015 (6) : 56-68

6) Wang Wei. Population aging, birth policy adjustment and economic growth in China [J]. Economics (Quarterly Journal), 2016,16: 67-96

7) Liu Shenglong, Hu Angang and LANG Xiaojuan. Life expectancy and household savings in China [J]. Economic Research, 2012 (8) :107-117.

8) Yuan Ni. An analysis of the impact of population structure on the savings rate of Chinese residents: based on inter-provincial dynamics from 2001 to 2018Panel data [J]. Economic Theory and Practice, 2020 (8) : 04-0

9) The Yang Si family. Impact of population age Structure Change on Household savings Rate [J]. Exploring economic issues, 2013 (5) : 7-11

10) Zhao Wenzhe, Dong Lixia. Demographics, savings, and Economic growth: Based on a cross-country panel vector autoregressive approachThe study of law [J]. International Finance Research, 2013 (9) : 29-42

11) Yang Ying, Yang Huanrong. The second demographic dividend and savings rate based on rational expectations [J]. Sankei Review, 2013 (2) :113-125.
Volume 07 Issue 06 June 2024

Indexed In

Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar Avatar